Billy Beane is Becoming a Football Guy

Discussion in 'Prem talk, Those Other Leagues, and International' started by DCDave, Aug 21, 2007.

  1. DCDave

    DCDave Member

    Joined:
    Jan 6, 2005
    From today's Toronto Star:

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    Mr. Beane's love affair with soccer

    A's boss a diehard fan of Hotspur and has vowed to help San Jose club get back in MLS picture
    Aug 21, 2007 04:30 AM
    Cathal Kelly
    Sports reporter

    For a man paid to unravel the mysteries of baseball, Oakland Athletics general manager Billy Beane spends a lot of time thinking about soccer for free.

    There are as many as five – count 'em, five – hours each day spent listening to soccer podcasts ("on long walks with my dog and during my commute"). There are TiVo'd Premiership games and the heartache that comes with a devotion to Tottenham Hotspur.

    Then there is the nightly tug-of-war with his wife.

    "She wants to watch the baseball highlights on (ESPN's) SportsCenter. I want to watch Fox Soccer Channel," Beane said.

    His interest was piqued during a 2003 trip to England to watch the rugby World Cup finals. While there, Beane couldn't help noticing that nation's other game – football – and something else.

    "I saw the passion, but I also saw emotion. And where there's emotion, there is an opportunity."

    Beane came home with a new curiosity, which he shared with colleagues and A's owner Lew Wolff.

    Last summer, Beane, Wolff and the rest of Oakland's top brass skipped out on their day jobs to travel to Germany for a week during the World Cup. The fever really took hold then.

    "I've become a rabid, passionate fan," Beane said.

    His tutors in the game include his counterpart at Spurs – director of football Damien Comolli.

    Moved as much by Beane's enthusiasm as business calculations, Wolff decided to provide his employee with a new toy. Last month, he and partner John Fisher agreed to resuscitate the defunct Major League Soccer franchise, the San Jose Earthquakes.

    "The downside is relatively comfortable and the upside is unknown," Wolff said in Toronto recently, where he was attending the baseball owners' meetings.

    San Jose will rejoin MLS next season. For now, Beane has an informal involvement with the team that includes an office in the Earthquakes' temporary headquarters.

    "It's something I want to help grow," Beane said, at pains to point out he's not leaving the A's. But, "at some point, I anticipate that involvement growing."

    He won't offer any more than that. However, it is curious that three times during a short phone conversation Beane praises assistant GM David Forst's ability to run the baseball team without him.

    "I feel like we've got two GMs here anyway," Beane said.

    It is impossible to talk about Beane without mentioning his baseball philosophy. Beane championed the outsider idea that certain statistics revealed more about a player's quality than physical makeup or mere observation could.

    Given legitimacy by Beane, the movement became pejoratively known as Moneyball, after the title of the 2003 book in which the Oakland GM starred. Though Beane has enjoyed remarkable success with the small-market A's, his ideas are still controversial in the baseball fraternity.

    Maybe that's why he talks so cautiously about bringing the same philosophies to assembling a soccer team.

    "Everybody in sport is using some sort of objective analysis," Beane said. "The biggest key is collecting and utilizing data that is linear to winning games."

    The most obvious hurdle is the dearth of statistical data in soccer as compared to baseball.

    "I'm too respectful of the sport to say I have the formula for success," Beane said. "But it's something we'd like to explore."

    The world soccer equivalent to Billy Beane and the A's is Anatoly Zelentsov and Dynamo Kiev.

    In the 1970s and '80s, Zelentsov was the Ukrainian scientist who brought an early version of objective analysis to the world's most popular sport.

    Dynamo Kiev's players were taught a series of computer-designed plays and warned against improvising. The field was dissected into grids. Players slid into the grids assigned to them, knowing beforehand with iron certainty whether or not they were due to receive the ball. The result was Total Football with an enormous brain and no heart. Dynamo players were often likened to robots.

    But the results spoke for themselves. An underfunded club from a satellite nation dominated the Soviet soccer system for decades and twice won the European Cup Winner's Cup – in 1975 and 1986.

    Once the wall came down, top western clubs snatched up Dynamo's biggest stars. Most were abysmal failures once removed from Zelentsov's system.

    Dynamo not only used computer models to train the team. They were also used to pick it. Measures that tested reflexes (by, for instance, hitting the same keyboard button as quickly as possible over a long interval) or memory games were thought to reveal a player's true speed and intelligence.

    It sounded wacky, but Zelentsov was invited to use his tools to winnow down a 40-player pool to a 20-man Soviet squad. The team chosen by Zelentsov's computer was sent to the 1988 European Championships, where they were surprise finalists.

    Right now, Beane doesn't have a system, just the belief that one must exist.

    "In everything, there is something. It's just having the ability to mine the linear data from all the background noise," Beane said.

    He's even more certain about soccer's future in America.

    "It's the vacuum effect. You have the world's richest country. And you have the world's biggest sport. `Collision' is the wrong word, but the vacuum is going to have to be filled."

    That "collision" became apparent to him this summer in an unlikely venue – on HBO. In an episode of the hit series Entourage, the show's star, a Hollywood actor named Vincent Chase, spends an afternoon watching a Manchester United game at Dennis Hopper's house.

    The episode didn't get it all right – wrong players, wrong games. But it was English soccer in America's coolest homes.

    "It's not just sports culture anymore," Beane said. "Now it's become pop culture."

    Beane talks down his own knowledge, which seems considerable – he chats easily about the quality of Fernando Torres' "touches" or Arsene Wenger's scouting coups.

    If Beane's history is any indicator, his hoovering for raw data will soon transform itself into profitable play on the field.

    "I don't pretend to have any answers," Beane said. "I'm just hungry to find them."
     
    #1
  2. nmancini04

    nmancini04 New Member

    Joined:
    May 21, 2007
    Great find, Dave! I found that really interesting.
     
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